ONLINEFall 2006  
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This issue of The PotashCorp Letter looks at how the rising demand for biofuels could impact crop production and fertilizer use.
 
Fuel For Growth
Grain Drain
Switching Gears
Around the World
The Economic Engine
Dollars & Sense
The Government Mandate
Shifting Into Overdrive
 
 


As the production of renewable fuel sources helps resolve one challenge, it is also adding to the increasing production pressures on the world’s farmers and agricultural land.

The combination of a growing population and higher incomes has already pushed global grain production to its limits. With the exception of the 2004/05 crop season, when almost every region of the world enjoyed near-perfect growing conditions, grain consumption has outstripped production every year since the turn of the century. The gap is expected to be even larger this year.

That has driven the world’s grain stocks-to-use ratio alarmingly low. It is now forecast that the 2006/07 ending ratio will fall to 15.5 percent – the lowest level in recorded history.

With the new expectation of crops like corn, oil palm and sugar cane being directed to biofuel production, it will be even more important for farmers to maximize the yields that can be achieved on existing agricultural land.

Fertilizers will be an integral part of that story. Many of these crops are significant potash consumers, which will mean farmers must increase application rates to keep their land fertile and yields high.

 

This document contains forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties, including those referred to in the company’s annual report. A number of factors could cause actual developments to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, fluctuation in supply and demand of primary products and raw materials; changes in competitive pressures, including pricing pressures; changes in capital markets; changes in currency and exchange rates; unexpected geological or environmental conditions; and government policy changes.

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